Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Perry Mehrling have a fascinating opinion piece in today’s Washington Post arguing that we are actually all going to be fine and that the coming recession is going to be quite modest—at least in the US. Here’s the nub of their argument:
“Uncle Sam (a.k.a. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke) is doing precisely what’s needed to avoid the mistakes of the 1930s. With credit markets drying up, he’s turning on the faucet by recycling our panic dollars back into the financial market.
The government is taking in our money (in exchange for Treasury bills) and using it to make mortgages and buy up the assets we’re too scared to hold. It’s doing this via the Treasury, the Fed, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., the Federal Housing Administration, the Federal Home Loan Bank, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and other appendages.
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