Osborne's debt dilemma

If there’s one sentiment that defines George Osborne’s article for the Telegraph today, it’s that there is no need for us Brits to panic. The economic convulsions of the past few days, contends the Chancellor, serve to prove that the coalition was right to approach deficit reduction as it has. “The alternative of more spending and yet more borrowing is now frankly ludicrous,” he says, “and places those who advocate it on the outer fringes of the international debate.”

He has a point. As I blogged on Saturday, there are reasons to believe that we’d be hurtling towards a credit downgrade and higher borrowing costs were it not for the fact that our debt-GDP ratio is set to decline by 2015. Based on Standard and Poor’s analysis of America’s debt, Osborne’s new fiscal rule, “to ensure that debt is falling as a share of GDP by 2015-16“, is looking even shrewder today than when he announced it in his first Budget.