Jonathan Jones

Obama wins the convention season

In America, the convention duel is over and there can now be little doubt that Barack Obama won it. Whereas Mitt Romney saw only a very modest boost in his polling numbers during the Republican convention, Obama has received a much bigger bounce, not only wiping out any advantage Romney gained the previous week, but actually leaving him with a bigger lead than he’d enjoyed before. On both Gallup and Rasmussen’s national tracking polls, he now enjoys a commanding five-point lead. And that could well continue to grow: the Gallup number still includes responses from before the Democratic convention even began. Nate Silver’s forecasting model  now gives Obama an 80.7 per cent chance of securing re-election — his highest of the campaign.

And how did Obama achieve this? There was his characteristically excellent speech on Thursday night, but perhaps more important were the support acts: in particular his wife Michelle on Tuesday and Bill Clinton on Wednesday, both of whom received rave reviews.

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