Is Nigel Farage having any more luck in South Thanet? According to a new poll from Survation on the eve of Ukip’s spring conference, Farage has pulled ahead of the Tories and Labour in his target constituency. The poll has Ukip on 39 per cent, Labour on 28 per cent and the Conservatives on 27, giving Farage a clear 11-point lead over the other parties.
As the chart above shows, it’s a significant rise from the party’s 2010 vote share and up significantly from Lord Ashcroft’s most recent constituency poll in November. If Farage managed to achieve a similar result on May 7, it would be a significant boost for the party in a seat that is far from the most Ukip friendly. It’s worth noting that Survation generally has Ukip on a higher rating than other pollsters — their last national poll had Ukip on 19 per cent compared to 11 per cent in a similar one from Lord Ashcroft.
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