James Forsyth James Forsyth

NHS delays could derail Boris’s re-election campaign

(Photo by Carl Court/Getty Images)

What is the biggest single threat to the Tories being re-elected? The NHS waiting list, I say in the Times today. Already more than five million people are waiting for routine hospital treatment in England. Sajid Javid has warned that this number could rise to 13 million — which would be one in four of the population.

Simon Stevens, the just-departed head of NHS England, has warned that this waiting list could take three years to clear which takes you right up to the next election. For Labour, the backlog list offers the easiest and most comfortable of attack lines: ‘You can’t trust the Tories with the NHS’. If millions are stuck waiting for treatment, this line will have huge resonance.

Fear of the waiting list is why the Tories are prepared to break their manifesto pledge and raise National Insurance.

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