Newt Gingrich is Not John Kerry. That’s His Problem.

In the end your view of the battle for the Republican party’s presidential nomination comes down to the degree of confidence you have that Republican voters, especially but not exclusively in the early primary states, remain capable of remembering that the election that matters takes place in November, not the spring. If you doubt they can manage this then you probably think Newt Gingrich is the bona fide front-runner; if you think they can then you’re liable to think Newt’s resurgence is just another teenage crush that will fade as swiftly as it developed. I’m in the latter camp, for what it’s worth.

There have been improbable Presidents before (some, including the man himself, might consider the present President such) but few so unlikely as Newt. And Obama was, from the beginning of his Senatorial career, a more probable President than Newt is now even if Obama’s path to power depended on its fair share of complimentary circumstances.

Ross