Just when Scottish Labour didn’t think it could get any worse, a new poll suggests they are now facing total wipe out next Thursday. According to Ipsos MORI/STV News, the SNP is now up to 54 per cent of the vote share — up two points since their last poll in January. Punching these numbers into Electoral Calculus suggests the Nats will win all 59 seats and wipe out the other parties. Another prediction website, ScotlandVotes, suggests that this vote share would leave one Liberal Democrat MP after polling day.
Unlike Lord Ashcroft’s recent polls north of the border, this survey was conducted across the whole of Scotland — not just in marginals — and first-past-the-post means that a total wipeout for Scottish Labour is not a dead cert. Interestingly, Ipsos MORI reports that Scottish Labour is down to 20 per cent, just three points ahead of the Scottish Conservatives on 17 per cent.
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