We already know that Britain has a massive sick-note problem but we did not, until today, know just how large. Every three months, the ONS surveys 35,000 people and uses the results to guess how many (for example) are not working due to long-term sickness. That figure had been 2.6 million. But it has today been revised upwards by 200,000 – equivalent to the population of Norwich or Aberdeen – to 2.8 million. The chart of those too sick to work, already one of the most alarming in UK economics, now looks even worse.
The Labour Force Survey – the tool that statisticians use to work out employment, unemployment and economic inactivity (those out of work and not looking for it either) – has been ‘reweighted’ because population estimates had undercounted how many people live here.
This matters because the UK is still suffering massive worker shortages (almost a million vacancies) which has been sucking in immigration.
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