Merging the various Out campaigns is not the biggest challenge, winning is

What could be worse, from a Eurosceptic perspective, than multiple Out campaigns? One Out campaign that can’t win.

Those Eurosceptics who believe that merging the various Out campaigns is the biggest challenge right now are missing the point. There are currently various serious government ministers and business people who are ready to back Vote Leave once the renegotiation is done. But they won’t sign up to an Out campaign that, they believe, is Ukip dominated.

It will be an uphill struggle for Out to triumph in this referendum. Normally, the change proposition—Out in this case—needs to be ahead by a double digit margin before the campaign starts if it is to win, which Out isn’t at the moment. But if the Out campaign comes to be seen as simply a coalition of Ukip and veteran Tory Euroscpetics, then its already slim chance of winning will disappear altogether.