James Forsyth James Forsyth

Leave six points ahead in latest phone poll


Fraser Nelson and Nick Cohen discuss The Spectator’s decision to back Brexit:


The Ipsos MORI phone poll released this morning shows a dramatic turnaround since its last poll which had a double digit advantage for Remain. Leave is now six points ahead amongst those likely to vote. This means that Leave has been ahead in 7 out of the last 10 polls and 2 of the last 4 phone polls.

Almost as worrying for the Remain campaign as the headline number is what the internals of the Ipsos MORI poll show. In a change from last month, immigration is now the top issue for people in this referendum, overtaking the economy. Alarmingly for IN, 70% percent of people don’t believe the Treasury’s claim that households wold be £4,300 worse off after Brexit. By contrast, 47% people do believe the Leave’s campaign’s claim that the UK sends £350 million to the EU each week.

Get Britain's best politics newsletters

Register to get The Spectator's insight and opinion straight to your inbox. You can then read two free articles each week.

Already a subscriber? Log in

Comments

Join the debate for just £1 a month

Be part of the conversation with other Spectator readers by getting your first three months for £3.

Already a subscriber? Log in