Andrew Roberts

Jaipur Notebook

Also in Andrew Roberts’s Jaipur notebook: Brexit and empire; and are biographers like serial killers?

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Andrew Watts

Who do US psychics predict will win the election?

From the magazine
A week away from the American election, and the polls cannot tell us who will be president. But can they ever? A poll is, as the pundits always remind us, a snapshot of public opinion, not a prediction. Nate Silver himself said that anyone dissecting an individual poll is ‘just doing astrology’. So what predictions

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