So when will Iran get enough nuclear material for a bomb? In evidence to the Knesset this morning, Israeli military intelligence has suggested this could happen as early as this year. Of course, the Iranians don’t (yet) have the right missiles. There was some concern about Russians selling a S300 anti-aircraft missile to China who could sell it to Iran – but when I was in Jerusalem a few weeks ago the officials I spoke to said they think the Kremlin has changed its mind. (Ditto with the sale of MiG31s to Syria). But with the material ready to go, it can only be a matter of time before Iran finds a missile from somewhere.
Israel isn’t under attack, but it feels like it right now. It’s in the midst of a five-day emergency drill called “Turning Point Three”, where schools, hospitals etc. run through what they’d do if under a multiple missile attack.
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