Kate Andrews Kate Andrews

Is the economic recovery still on track?

Compared with July, August’s GDP boost looks much healthier — but that’s not saying much. Originally thought to have stagnated at 0.1 per cent, the economy in July actually shrank by 0.1 per cent, according to the latest update from the Office for National Statistics.


If inflationary pressures continue to surge, the Bank may have no choice but to act


Still, August’s GDP increase of 0.4 per cent puts the economy back on the upwards trajectory, now estimated to sit 0.8 per cent below pre-pandemic levels. Despite so-called ‘freedom day’ arriving halfway through July, people continued to socially distance in order to avoid being mandated back into their homes. A strong reminder that it doesn’t take a full-blown lockdown, only specific restrictions, to impede economic recovery.

By mid-August, quarantine exemptions for double-vaccinated adults had kicked in and consumer-facing services increased by 1.2


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