Is Reform about to top the polls?

Is Reform about to become the most popular political party in Britain, overtaking both Labour and the Tories in national opinion polls?

The rise of the light blue peril in opinion surveys since the general election at the expense of both major parties has certainly caused jitters in Westminster. MPs from more established parties know that Reform hitting the front would be a major story in itself and could generate a ‘feedback loop’ that could further stretch its lead. 

Following a bumpy Christmas for Kemi Badenoch, the latest Spectator poll tracker which aggregates surveys up to 8 January, has Labour averaging 27 per cent, the Tories just over 23 per cent and Reform just under 23 per cent.

But a new poll published today by the pollster Find Out Now suggests we are suddenly very close to a ‘crossover’ moment when the insurgent party establishes an average poll lead over both its main rivals.