Martin Vander Weyer Martin Vander Weyer

Is Credit Suisse the tornado on the banking horizon?

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issue 08 October 2022

Headlines about ‘alarm over CreditSuisse’ might be read as a sign of normality in financial news, rather than the reverse. The second-ranked Swiss bank (behind UBS) has slipped on so many banana skins in recent years that, as I wrote in February: ‘I sometimes wonder how and why it survives.’ As a recognised basket-case, its difficulties are not usually seen as harbingers of systemic trouble.

But in the Kwarteng-induced febrile mood of London’s markets, the question has to be asked. This is October, the devil’s favourite month for provoking crashes. Could Credit Suisse be the tornado on banking’s horizon?

Amid rumours of critical balance-sheet weakness, Credit Suisse’s shares have fallen 60 per cent this year. More recently, the price of its credit default swaps – a form of insurance against the bank failing to repay its bond debt – multiplied almost sixfold. Reports that the Bank of England was liaising with Swiss authorities to avert wider turbulence upped the unease.

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