Jonathan Davis

Investment special: Springtime for stockbrokers

Shares are rising but there could still be turbulence ahead

issue 09 March 2013

You know you’re in a bull market when bad news is simply shrugged aside and even the most indifferent events are greeted exuberantly. The result of February’s Italian general election, which drags the future of the eurozone back into question, would have induced market panic had it come nine months ago. But the world’s equity markets barely blinked before resuming an attempt to breach all-time peaks.

Something similar happened last week when the US Congress failed to agree how to avoid the package of mandatory spending cuts known as ‘the sequester’. When Republicans and Democrats came up with these cuts in 2011, they were so potentially damaging it was unthinkable that any party could actually contemplate allowing them to come into force. Or so they thought. When the deadline for avoiding the sequester passed without resolution, Wall Street barely twitched.

Wall Street — like most of the world’s stock markets, which tend to follow its lead — has been on a tear ever since it learnt to stop worrying about tiresome European news and started focusing instead on tangible signs of recovery at home.

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