Merryn Somerset-Webb

Investment special: How Shinzo Abe has revived Japan

Japan’s new leader is the catalyst for a resurgent stock market

issue 04 May 2013

Thank goodness for Shinzo Abe. Back in 2007, I wrote here that ‘over the next two to five years Japan will turn out to be one of the best investments UK-based investors can make’. By the middle of 2012, nearly five years on, that wasn’t looking like much of a prediction.

Then prime minister Abe appeared on the scene. Since his election in November the yen has fallen 20 per cent against the dollar and the Japanese stock market has risen not far off 50 per cent. Phew. So what’s so great about Mr Abe? The short answer is that he has promised to do something about the Japanese economy after two decades of slow growth and semi-deflation, and — crucially — everyone believes him.

He has what he calls a ‘three arrow’ strategy for change. The first arrow is fiscal policy. This is pretty standard for Japan: spending piles of money the country doesn’t really have on stuff it’s hard to imagine the country really needs, and it’s a method that hasn’t ever really worked before.

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