How the Conservative strategy is faring across the country

It’s the week of the election and Boris Johnson is to spend the final days of the campaign visiting every region in England and Wales – starting off with a tour of Leave-voting Labour marginals. The polls vary in the size of the Tory lead – starting from a 6pt lead and going up to a 14pt lead.

Anything below seven points suggests that a majority is not guaranteed and the Tories could find themselves in hung parliament territory. The Conservative result rests on how successful their electoral strategy is in different parts of the country. As ConHome’s Paul Goodman recently said on the Spectator’s Edition podcast, it’s like a fruit machine – if they hit all three lemons the majority will be sizeable, if they only have one then things start to look shaky.

So, how is the strategy faring across the country?

The red wall


The part of the Tories’ electoral pitch that has got the most attention relates to the so-called red wall.