Over the past month, there has been increasing optimism within the Tory party that the political situation may not be as apocalyptic as first feared. The polls appear to be narrowing slightly, Rishi Sunak’s approval ratings have risen and there are early signs of progress on the Prime Minister’s policy priorities. But it’s the coming months – as MPs return to Westminster following their Easter recess – that will show whether this trend is here to stay, and if Sunak can stay in control of events.
The Prime Minister is kicking off the new season with a speech on one of his favourite topics: maths until 18. When Sunak first included this agenda in his new year’s speech along with his five priorities there were raised eyebrows among some Tory MPs who feel it is not a key voter issue. While he sees it as key to long term growth, it is not a policy that is going to decide the party’s fate.

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