Ross Clark Ross Clark

How likely are you to catch Covid on a plane?

(Photo by TIZIANA FABI/AFP via Getty Images)

It is little surprise to see the International Air Transport Association (IATA) claiming that the risk of catching Covid-19 on a plane is incredibly low. No industry has been as devastated by the pandemic as the airline industry and there is desperation to get planes flying again. But is IATA’s claim that just 44 out of 1.2 billion airline passengers this year has caught the virus during a flight remotely feasible?

Absolutely not. What IATA really means is that it has only been able to identify 44 cases of transmission recorded in academic studies. It would be absurd to deduce from this that there had been no other cases of transmission other than those which have happened to be captured in academic studies. Think of the many thousands of flights that took place around the world in January and February when hardly any countries had a track and trace system in place.

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