James Forsyth James Forsyth

How badly will Rudy do?

Rudy Giuliani’s sixth place finish in Iowa could be shrugged off as he had never really put that much effort into the state and as Iowa with its socially conservative Republican base was never going to be hospitable territory for a thrice-married, socially liberal former New York Mayor. But New Hampshire with its more small government, libertarian-leaning electorate was meant to be much more hospitable territory for him. Indeed, Giuliani made a major play for the state late last year only reducing his emphasis on it when a TV advertising blast failed to move the needle. So it will be much harder for Giuliani to shrug off a poor finish here. But that is precisely what he is heading for according to the latest polling averages.

Real Clear Politics has Giuliani in fourth place and only leading Ron Paul, the libertarian anti-war Republican, by 1.1

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