Why the Tories need the new Hong Kong voter base

With the Conservatives trailing around twenty points in most polls, the outcome of the next election seems all but set. However, even if Rishi Sunak will struggle to lead his party to a fifth term, the scale of a likely Labour victory remains unclear. Whether it’s a backlash from the Muslim community over Starmer’s position on Gaza or Scottish independence, there are plenty of factors that could dampen a Starmer victory parade.

One of these unknowns that could swing the balance for some crucial seats in the next election are that of the new voters from Hong Kong, 125,000 of whom have come to the UK on British Nationals (Overseas) status since China imposed a National Security Law on the city in 2020.

According to new research conducted by the organisation Hong Kong Watch, a London-based NGO, and seen by The Spectator, there are a number of marginal seats in which a highly educated and politically engaged Hong Kong voter base could swing results in the next election.