The ‘Trumpmentum’ of the last few weeks couldn’t last forever. Now, with less than four days to go until election day, concern is spreading in Republican circles that the Trump train has ‘stalled’ as the Democrats make late and potentially decisive gains in key areas.
Across the battleground states, and especially in Pennsylvania, early voting numbers suggest that women are turning out in far bigger numbers than men. This is good news for the Democrats because 2024 is widely thought to be ‘the gender election’: a majority of men favour Trump; a majority of women support Harris. The Trump campaign is also lagging behind Harris in early voting among senior citizens in Pennsylvania. Americans over the age of 65 are traditionally a key demographic group for Republican success, yet Trump campaign sources remain confident that Republican-voting seniors will address that imbalance by voting the more old-fashioned way on election day. ‘Republicans and older Republicans in particular, generally, like to vote on election day because that’s what they’re accustomed to,’ says Charlie Gerow, a Republican strategist in Pennsylvania.
Is this all late jitters?
For now, however, it’s a worry for the Trump-Vance campaign.
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