Sebastian Payne

Has the Tory crossover in the polls finally arrived?

As election day nears, the number of polls appearing is rapidly increasing. But it still remains very tight and the movements are generally within the margin of error. But there is one trend emerging from the handful of polls released in the last few days: the Tories are stable on 35 per cent and ahead of Labour. As the chart above shows, YouGov, Ipsos MORI and ComRes all put the Tories on 35 and ICM concurred with this vote share on Monday.

There is no consensus between the pollsters however on where Labour sits in comparison to the Tories. Lord Ashcroft had Labour the furthest behind, traling by six points, on Monday, while Ipsos MORI’s latest poll today has the Tories five points ahead but ComRes has the two parties level on 35 per cent.

Comments

Join the debate for just $5 for 3 months

Be part of the conversation with other Spectator readers by getting your first three months for $5.

Already a subscriber? Log in