Larry Sabato’s latest forecast predicts that the Republican party could pick up as many as 47 seats in the House of Representatives this November. He also thinks they have an outside shot at retaking the Senate. This is the background to Conservative Cabbie’s post tweaking me for this blog’s previous – and many! – suggestions that the GOP was in heaps of trouble.
He’s right. I didn’t anticipate unemployment remaining close to 10% through the mid-terms and I didn’t think that Pat Toomey, for instance, would be well-placed to win in Pennsylvania. And he’s also right to suggest that I under-appreciated the impact the Tea Party movement might have, not least the effect it has had on the prisms through which the mid-terms are going to be viewed.
It’s tempting to look at Glenn Beck’s prayer-fest on the Mall last weekend as a high point for a certain kind of nostalgic conservatism. There’s some merit to that view.
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