How will history judge George Osborne’s second Budget? Once the headline writers
have moved on to the next story and the longer-term consequences of the measures become apparent, will this budget be seen as doing the right thing? Unfortunately the answer is, at best, “not
really.”
By sticking to the target of eliminating the structural deficit in this parliament, George Osborne got the big call right. As Andrew Haldenby has written, “It’s always easier to set a
target at first but as people get tired of austerity there is a real temptation to stop before the job is done. Writing for Reform last year, Paul Martin, the Prime Minister during the Canadian
consolidation of the 1990s, said: ‘we made it clear that we would achieve those targets [for cutting the deficit] come hell or high water – and we did.’”
Yet other features of the Budget have undermined fiscal discipline.
Patrick Nolan
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