The Spectator

Get it right, George!

We asked a select group to offer the Chancellor a single ‘big idea’ that would kick-start the UK economy

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Not even close: how Trump confounded the pundits

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It was supposed to be close. On the eve of election day, Donald Trump was up just 0.1 per cent in the RealClearPolitics polling average. FiveThirtyEight projected a tiny Trump advantage. PredictIt had Kamala Harris ahead. A celebrated pollster ran 80,000 simulations, and Harris won 50.015 per cent of them, versus 49.985 per cent for

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