James Forsyth James Forsyth

‘Every pub is a parliament’: on the campaign trail with Nigel Farage

Ukip's leader is now a genuine celebrity – go out on the street with him and you'll see

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A week away from the American election, and the polls cannot tell us who will be president. But can they ever? A poll is, as the pundits always remind us, a snapshot of public opinion, not a prediction. Nate Silver himself said that anyone dissecting an individual poll is ‘just doing astrology’. So what predictions

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