Ed Miliband could have won the election last night. Now, it’s Cameron’s to lose.

The Sun’s front page today has a picture of Ed Miliband saying: “Oops, I just lost my election”. That’s an exaggeration: I’d say the election is still 50/50, pretty much where it was last week. And realistically, that’s the best David Cameron could have hoped for. Miliband emerged best from the Paxman interviews, and had he triumphed last night he would have gathered momentum that could well have carried him over the line on 7 May. It was easier for Miliband to ‘win – all he had to do to exceed expectations was turn up without the help of a life support machine. Last time, there was a sizeable gap between the caricature of Ed Miliband and the man at his best. But in his debate, the gap wasn’t so big. Had he wowed us with his passion, or laid a blow on Cameron, he really would be sailing into this election campaign. It isn’t unthinkable: he was almost impressive, almost suave, on the Absolute