Ahron Bregman

Could Israel bring down Iran’s regime?

A mural painting of Iranian flags, Tehran (Credit: Getty images)

So, the long-awaited Israeli strike on Iran is finally over, and if we trust the Israeli post-attack analysis, then it went well. Buckling under American pressure not to attack Iranian nuclear or oil facilities, which could have led to massive escalation and a spike in oil prices (both undesired outcomes on the eve of US elections), Israel focused instead on military targets.

Its 100-aircraft armada knocked out all of Iran’s S-300 air defence system, reduced Iranian ballistic missile production by 80 per cent, and struck air defence systems in the vicinity of Abadan, an oil production centre. This air attack caused not only physical damage but also sent a clear message to Iran that, next time, with Iranian air defence shattered, Israel could get even closer to sensitive sites.

The war between Israel and Iran, for many years in the shadows, is now all in the open

Iran, no doubt, finds itself in an undesired situation.

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