Conservatives are four points ahead in latest ICM poll

Are the Tories beginning to edge ahead of Labour in the polls? ICM have released their latest monthly poll, which suggests a surge in support for the Conservatives. Since their last poll in January, the Tories have gained six points according to ICM, putting them four points ahead. Labour are on 32 per cent, down one point from last month. As the chart above shows, there’s a trend towards the Tories in the last three ICM polls.

The bounce appears to be at the expense of the smaller parties. The Liberal Democrats have dropped one point — although they are still on a solid ten per cent — while Ukip are down two points, back into single digits. The Greens are also down two points to seven per cent. Although the narrative in Westminster has suggested the last week was a bad one for the Tories, given the HSBC/Stephen Green scandal, this poll suggests the Conservatives are actually gaining support.