Can anything stop benefits spending hitting £120bn?

The Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) forecasts on Budget day included the startling figure that spending on health and disability benefits is set to pass £100 billion in five years’ time. Figures from the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) today, which are based on a broader range of benefits and recipients, put the amount even higher: £120 billion. 

The DWP’s figures include housing benefit for health and disability benefit recipients. In real terms, spending on this definition is forecast to rise by 20 per cent (or £18 billion) over the next five years. The share of government spending that goes on these benefits will be at a record level this year, at just under 7.1 per cent (defence is a little under 5 per cent of government spending).