Cameron’s biggest challenge will come after the EU referendum

The one thing that can be said with certainty about what will happen at Westminster post-referendum is that David Cameron will find governing even harder than he does now. His majority is already the thinnest of blue lines and opposition from Tory backbenchers has already forced the government to u-turn on a host of policies. This problem will get even worse after the referendum. There are bound to be some irreconcilable Tory MPs who will take every attempt they can to thwart Cameron and Osborne’s legislative agenda. The result: ‘a zombie parliament‘, in the words of one member of the payroll vote, with hardly any bills being passed.

Cameron will, to all intents and purposes, be running a minority government over the next few years. There is even scepticism that he’ll be able to get the boundary review, which is politically beneficial to the Tories, through the House.

Number 10 and government ministers are already beginning to adopt a minority government mind-set.