Matthew Goodwin

Boris won’t save the Tory party

He will almost certainly hand the next election to Labour

In the aftermath of Trussfall, amid the victory of the lettuce, the Conservative party has today crashed to just 14 per cent in the polls. This is the party’s lowest level of support in British polling history. The previous low, 17 per cent, was recorded during the Brexit meltdown in the spring of 2019, amid Theresa May’s resignation and the Brexit party insurgency. 

Today’s new low comes amid the resignation of Truss, the complete failure of her project and a governing party that has gone from being one of the most successful parties in the Western world to where it is today – on life support. Here’s what I think happens next. 

Liz Truss has gone. Trussonomics is dead. Nobody who is associated with libertarian politics, whether rightly or wrongly, will be let anywhere near power for a generation or more. The ‘liberal leaver’ vision of Brexit as ‘Davos-on-Thames’ – a project that was chiefly about low taxes, deregulation, putting London and the City on steroids and continuing with high rates of immigration – is over.

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Matthew Goodwin
Matthew Goodwin is an academic, writer and speaker known for his work on political volatility, risk, populism, British politics, Europe, elections and Brexit.

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