Sunetra Gupta, Carl Heneghan & Karol Sikora

Boris must urgently rethink his Covid strategy

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Dear Prime Minister, Chancellor, CMOs and Chief Scientific Adviser

We are writing with the intention of providing constructive input into the choices with respect to the Covid-19 policy response. We also have several concerns regarding aspects of the existing policy choices that we wish to draw attention to.

In summary, our view is that the existing policy path is inconsistent with the known risk-profile of Covid-19 and should be reconsidered. The unstated objective currently appears to be one of suppression of the virus, until such a time that a vaccine can be deployed. This objective is increasingly unfeasible (notwithstanding our more specific concerns regarding existing policies) and is leading to significant harm across all age groups, which likely offsets any benefits.

Instead, more targeted measures that protect the most vulnerable from Covid, whilst not adversely impacting those not at risk, are more supportable. Given the high proportion of Covid deaths in care homes, these should be a priority.

Written by
Sunetra Gupta, Carl Heneghan & Karol Sikora
Sunetra Gupta is professor of theoretical epidemiology at the University of Oxford. Carl Heneghan is director of the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford. Karol Sikora is consultant oncologist and professor of medicine at the University of Buckingham.

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