How close is Ukip to taking away seats from the Conservatives in May? Lord Ashcroft has surveyed the Ukip-Tory battleground in his latest round of constituency polling. He has surveyed four likely Ukip targets to find out how the Conservative vote is holding up: Boston & Skegness, Castle Point, North East Cambridgeshire and South Basildon & East Thurrock. In all these cases, Ukip have jumped into second place but the Tories are still leading.
The closest race is Castle Point, where Nigel Farage launched Ukip’s election campaign last week. Ashcroft’s poll says the Tories are currently on 37 per cent, compared to 36 per cent for Ukip. This represents a 22 per cent swing towards Ukip since the last election:
[datawrapper chart=”http://static.spectator.co.uk/oHfH8/index.html”]
Boston & Skegness is also looking to be a close race, with Ukip currently three points behind the Conservatives — a 19 per cent swing since 2010:
[datawrapper chart=”http://static.
Comments
Join the debate for just $5 for 3 months
Be part of the conversation with other Spectator readers by getting your first three months for $5.
UNLOCK ACCESS Just $5 for 3 monthsAlready a subscriber? Log in