The Tory-Labour battleground remains very close. Lord Ashcroft has returned to ten competitive marginal seats in his latest round of polling and has found swings to Labour, ranging from 0.5 per cent to four per cent. According to his latest polls, the Conservatives are set to hold onto five of these marginals: Blackpool North & Cleveleys, Gloucester, Kingswood, Pendle and Loughborough — the last represented by Education Secretary Nicky Morgan. Use the interactive chart above to see the latest polls.
In the other five marginals, Pudsey is a tie between the two parties — as it was in November last year — while Labour is set to take Harrow East, Hove, Morecambe & Lunesdale and Stockton South. The final constituency, represented by James Wharton, is one of the few Conservative seats in the North East of England so losing it will be a significant blow to the party.
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