Oliver Johnson

Are we really seeing a second European spike?

A masked city worker walks through the business district of Courbevoie in Paris (Photo by LUDOVIC MARIN/AFP via Getty Images)

You’ve probably seen the graphs, cases are way up in France, even higher than the first wave, and yet deaths hardly seem to be up at all. Yet if you compare the latest number of deaths recorded, 130 for the week ending 3 September, they’re slightly higher than the 123 deaths in the week in March when the country locked down. 

Meanwhile, in the UK, cases continue to rise with just under 3,000 new infections announced over the last two consecutive days. The deputy chief medical officer said last night that the rise is deeply concerning and that Brits had ‘relaxed too much’.

Should we be panicking? Are we about to see another spike in hospitalisation and the inevitable corresponding spike in deaths? It seems to me that the headbangers arguing ‘it’s only cases’ and those crying ‘stay locked down forever’ are both wrong. This is something that can only be seen when you look at the numbers correctly.

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