David Abulafia David Abulafia

Are all great civilisations doomed?

If plague, war or natural disasters don’t destroy our own, then ‘a cascading systems failure’ seems likely, on past evidence, says Paul Cooper

Ancient moai of Ahu Togariki, Easter Island. [Getty Images] 
issue 04 May 2024

To quote Private Frazer in Dad’s Army, ‘We’re doomed, doomed!’ That seems to be the message of Paul Cooper’s eminently readable series of essays about how and why 14 civilisations rose to greatness and then collapsed.

He begins with the Sumerians in the fourth millennium BC, at the northern tip of the Persian Gulf, and he finishes with Easter Island in the 18th century. He then concludes with dark prophecies about how a few centuries from now an overheated planet will look in a simpler post-industrial age. The style is informal, based on a series of popular podcasts, and one can almost hear the spoken word as one reads. Yet Cooper has built his narrative out of close reading of the original sources and the writings of the explorers and archaeologists who opened up such sites as Ur in Iraq, Chichen Itza in Guatemala and Angkor in Cambodia during the last couple of centuries.

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