James Forsyth James Forsyth

Another set of big poll leads for the Tories

Two new polls this morning show the Tories with massive leads over Labour.  The Independent reports that the Tories were ahead 48-26 in the fieldwork for their poll which was carried out before Davis resignation but that dropped back to 41-26 after the shock announcement. However, as Anthony Wells notes the sample sizes involved are so small it is hard to draw any firm conclusions from this over whether Davis’ actions have hurt the party or not.

The YouGov poll for The Sunday Times which has the Tories on 47, Labour on 25 and the Liberal Democrats on 18 shows that Brown has no chance of recovery unless the economic outlook improves considerably. It finds that more than two thirds of voters blame Brown to some extent for the current economic troubles. 62 percent predict that the economy will either not grow or go into recession over the next 12 months. Brown and Darling trail Cameron and Osborne by twenty points on the question of who you trust more to raise your family standard’s of living.

Brownite hopes that victory on 42 days could be the beginning of a comeback are dashed by the news that only nine percent of voters say that Brown has been strengthened by the win while 45 percent think it has weakened him. The silver lining for Labour is that the Tories have yet to lock this down. Only 40 percent agree that the Tories are ready for government and only 35 percent are confident that the party would handle the country’s problems better than Labour.       

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