Iain Macwhirter Iain Macwhirter

The SNP hegemony in Scotland is over

Humza Yousaf and SNP candidate Katy Loudon (Credit: Getty images)

It’s only one by-election of course and the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election was a most unusual one. It was caused by the sitting SNP MP, Margaret Ferrier, being ousted from her seat in a recall ballot following her suspension from Westminster for breaching lockdown rules during the pandemic. Of course we were going to lose, say the SNP. Our people stayed at home. Support for independence remains as high as ever.

True. But no amount of spin can counter the scale of this defeat and the crushing blow to Humza Yousaf’s already battered credibility as SNP leader and First Minister. The Rutherglen result confirms the run of opinion polls showing that Labour is back in contention and that the SNP’s decade-long hegemony is over.  

Humza Yousaf is living on borrowed time only six months after he took over from Nicola Sturgeon

If the 20 per cent swing in Rutherglen were replicated at next year’s general election, Labour would win back all of the 40 seats it lost to the nationalists in the 2015 post-referendum ‘tsunami’ general election.

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Written by
Iain Macwhirter

Iain Macwhirter is a former BBC TV presenter and was political commentator for The Herald between 1999 and 2022. He is an author of Road to Referendum and Disunited Kingdom: How Westminster Won a Referendum but Lost Scotland.

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