The Guardian have just published their latest ICM poll. The headline numbers: the Tories are on 43 percent (down 2 from last month); Labour on 28 percent (up 3); and the Lib Dems on 19 percent (down 1). So Labour have cut into the Tory lead.
When you look at the other findings, though, the picture looks bleaker for Brown. The vast majority of respondents think the UK’s heading towards a recession. And, when asked who they trust to run the economy, 46 percent picked Cameron and Osborne, compared to only 27 percent for Brown and Darling.
It’s a similar story to the Times/Populus poll of a couple of weeks ago. The combination of an improved Labour position with low public confidence in Brown could be toxic for the Prime Minister. As James wrote then: “the implication will not be lost on Labour MPs in marginal seats: if they change leader they might just have a chance”.
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